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The time frame is quite limited compared to the main BLS data series in the monthly employment report, many of which go back to 1948, and the enormously popular Nonfarm Employment (PAYEMS) series goes back to 1939, while the BLS began tracking JOLTS in December 2000.
Nevertheless, there are some clear JOLTS correlations with the most recent business cycle trends. , Hawaii has the highest average price for Regular at .21 and San Francisco, CA is the most expensive city, averaging .27. The WTIC end of day spot price closed at 61.73, a 2.3% increase from this time last week. All eight indexes on our world watch list have posted gains through the first week of 2018. What are the long-term trends for multiple jobholders in the US?
The WLI Growth indicator is now at 3.5, unchanged from the previous week. The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) has now released the December Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), also known as the ISM Services PMI. International Trade in Goods and Services, also known as the FT-900, is published monthly by the Bureau of Economic Analysis with data going back to 199 and details U. For both series, we focus on the population adjusted data.
The headline Composite Index is at 55.9 percent, down 1.5 from 57.4 last month. Let's now do something similar with the Light Vehicle Sales report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Since that first data point, the Civilian Noninstitutional Population Age 16 and Over (i.e., driving age not in the military or an inmate) has risen about 65%. Was the March 2009 low the end of a secular bear market and the beginning of a secular bull?
Excluding the 1981 recession, the Initial Claims trough lead time for a recession has ranged from 7 to 22 months with an average of 12 months if we include the 1981 recession and 14 months if we exclude it.
Admittedly, the last recession is an extreme example, but the Initial Claims trough preceded its December 2007 onset by a whopping 22 months. This commentary has been updated to include this morning's release of Nonfarm Employment.
It is at 2.6% year-over-year, down from 3.1% last month, on a non-seasonally adjusted basis.
At this point, before the close on the last day of the month, all three S&P 500 strategies are signaling "invested" — unchanged from last month's triple "invested" signal.
The survey captures data for four subcategories of the multi-job workforce, the current relative sizes of which we've illustrated in a pie chart. Let's take a close look at Friday's employment report numbers on Full and Part-Time Employment.
Buried near the bottom of Table A-9 of the government's Employment Situation Summary are the numbers for Full- and Part-Time Workers, with 35-or-more hours as the arbitrary divide between the two categories.
We've updated our monthly workforce analysis to include last week's Employment Report for December.
The unemployment rate remained at 4.1%, and the number of new nonfarm jobs (a relatively volatile number subject to extensive revisions) came in at 148K. This is not the scenario that would have been envisioned a generation ago for the "Golden Years" of retirement.
At the highest level, all jobs are categorized in either Service-Providing Industries or Goods Producing Industries.